Research and Markets: Wireless Network Traffic 2010 - 2015: Forecasts and Analysis

DUBLIN--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Research and Markets (http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/6d6b46/wireless_network_t) has announced the addition of the "Wireless Network Traffic 2010 - 2015: Forecasts and Analysis" report to their offering.

Growth in data volumes, take-up of new data devices and increasing mobile penetration are driving a substantial rise in wireless network traffic worldwide but not at the phenomenal rates that some forecasters have claimed. Our prediction of ten- to twenty-fold growth in traffic volumes over the next five years (depending on the geographical region) is far more likely than claims of one-hundred-fold increases or more. Nevertheless, it is still a dramatic rise and will have a significant impact on operators' strategies.

The combination of rapid growth in traffic volumes and slow growth in revenue is putting increasing pressure on operators' profit margins. There has never been a time when operators have needed to plan their network roll-outs more carefully. Investing in HSPA and LTE networks is important, but operators need to take into account the ongoing decline in revenue per megabyte. As our forecasts demonstrate, they will need to abandon flat-rate pricing models and sooner than they might think.

Our report provides a balanced view of traffic growth, which will prove valuable to vendors and investors that seek a contrasting view to some of the claims in the marketplace, as well as to operators as they formulate their plans for the next five years.

Wireless network traffic 2010 - 2015: forecasts and analysis provides a five-year forecast of wireless network traffic split into:

• eight geographical regions: Western Europe, North America, Developed AsiaPacific, Central and Eastern Europe, Central and Latin America, Emerging AsiaPacific, the Middle East and North Africa, and Sub-Saharan Africa.
• five device types: basic mobile phones, smartphones, PC-based mobile broadband devices, other MBB devices (such as tablets) and M2M devices.

The data series cover the:

• growth in mobile connections
• proportion of smartphones and netbooks
• ratio of voice to data services
• growth in wireless network traffic
• average wireless network traffic per connection
• proportion of indoor usage
• proportion of VoIP traffic
• decline in revenue per gigabyte of mobile broadband traffic.

The report also discusses the following drivers of wireless traffic growth:

• improvements to cellular devices
• network technology evolution
• new services
• pricing and bundling
• increasing usage of mobile devices while indoors
• the increasing number of mobile connections.

Key Topics Covered:

• Document map Executive summary
• The combination of dramatic traffic growth and slow revenue growth is putting pressure on operator profit margins
• Connections will grow at a 8.6% CAGR from 2010 to 2015, from 5 billion to more than 7.5 billion worldwide
• Traffic will grow at a 48% CAGR from 2010 to 2015, from 225PB per month to 1603PB per month
• Wireless traffic is growing at a phenomenal rate, but revenue per megabyte is in decline
• Global mobile connections will grow at an 8.6% CAGR from 2010 to 2015
• The proportion of smartphones and MBB devices will increase in developed markets
• The proportion of smartphones and MBB devices will increase in emerging markets
• Use of cellular devices in the home and workplace will increase for both voice and data services
• Global traffic from mobile connections will be seven times greater in 2015 than in 2010
• The average volume of traffic per connection will 6.5 times greater in developed markets by 2015
• Data traffic will exceed voice traffic in all markets by 2013
• VoIP traffic will not have a significant impact on total network traffic
• Revenue per gigabyte will fall from USD23.21 to USD4.27 in developed markets
• The adoption of data services will increase ARPU, but revenue per gigabyte will inevitably fall
• Improvements to cellular devices will increase service usage and wireless network traffic
• Technology enhancements will increase usage and wireless network traffic
• Technology enhancements improve throughputs, allowing support for a wider range of applications
• More-affordable prices and bundling of services will increase usage and wireless network traffic
• Growth in indoor usage of cellular devices will increase wireless network traffic
• Growth in the number of mobile connections will increase wireless network traffic
• Restriction of some types of service and application by MNOs would constrain wireless network traffic
• Improved fixed broadband services, particularly in developed markets, may constrain wireless network traffic
• Handover between fixed and mobile in the home, where broadband usage is highest, will take traffic off-network
• Spectrum limitations will constrain traffic growth
• The forecasts divide the world into eight regions
• The basis of the traffic model
• The traffic model considers traffic from five types of cellular device
• A number of variables could significantly affect wireless network traffic levels

For more information visit http://www.researchandmarkets.com/research/6d6b46/wireless_network_t

CONTACT:

Research and Markets
Laura Wood, Senior Manager,
press@researchandmarkets.com
U.S. Fax: 646-607-1907
Fax (outside U.S.): +353-1-481-1716

KEYWORDS:

INDUSTRY KEYWORDS:   Technology  Telecommunications  Mobile/Wireless

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